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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Sanchez Jover vs De la Fuente 0:2: result and our tips

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Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #328Elo 1632clay 1629
0:2final6:7(7) 6:7(5)
Santiago De la FuenteATP #756Elo 1464clay 1475

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Sanchez Jover79%
Santiago De la Fuente21%

Elo: C. Sanchez Jover 71% · S. De la Fuente 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Sanchez Jover57%
2:1 C. Sanchez Jover22%
2:1 S. De la Fuente10%
2:0 S. De la Fuente11%

First set

Carlos Sanchez Jover72%
Santiago De la Fuente28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.573%27%84%
17.563%37%76%
18.554%46%68%
19.548%52%59%
20.543%57%52%
21.537%63%46%
22.533%67%40%

Sample: 2,585 matches

Games handicap

C. Sanchez Jover −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Carlos Sanchez JoverSantiago De la Fuente
2Aces3
0Double faults1
71%First serves in68%
68%First-serve points won67%
54%Second-serve points won75%
1/5Break points converted1/2
11/12Service games held11/12
64%Service points won69%
31%Return points won36%
85Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. Sanchez JoverTourS. De la Fuente
Service points won58%62%56%
Return points won43%38%43%
Service games held69%76%63%
Breaks of serve33%24%32%
Aces per service game0.170.11
Double faults per game0.210.17
Sets with a tie-break15%13%
Tie-breaks won10/187/10
Wins in straight sets55%57%
Matches in the sample5333

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Santiago De la Fuente

Elo over the last year

Carlos Sanchez JoverSantiago De la Fuente

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. Sanchez JoverS. De la Fuente
Hard court0–10%0–0
Clay29–2356%14–1942%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Carlos Sanchez Jover

Santiago De la Fuente

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