Caniato vs Giustino 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Giustino: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Giustino: 5 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Caniato 7 of 20, Giustino 12 of 20 (tour average 37%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Caniato 31% · L. Giustino 69%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,793 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5out · 23 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aces | 9 |
| 5 | Double faults | 4 |
| 56% | First serves in | 66% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 2/4 |
| 9/11 | Service games held | 8/11 |
| 66% | Service points won | 59% |
| 42% | Return points won | 34% |
| 80 | Total points won | 72 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Caniato | Tour | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.34 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/20 | 16/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 21/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#91Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 19/10/26WDiogo MoraisChallenger Lisbon · R326:0 6:3
- 15/10/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Catania · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#500Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#322Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26WJay Clarke#241Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:0 2:0
- 24/09/26WTom Gentzsch#165Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:3 5:7 7:5
Lorenzo Giustino
- 20/10/26LYanaki Milev#527Challenger Florence · R321:6 7:6 3:6
- 16/10/26LZsombor Piros#101Challenger Maia · QF3:6 6:1 6:7
- 14/10/26WMichael Vrbensky#687Challenger Maia · R167:5 7:5
- 13/10/26WAndrea Pellegrino#140Challenger Maia · R326:4 2:6 6:1
- 08/10/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#331Challenger Palermo · R166:2 2:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WChristian Langmo#508Challenger Palermo · R326:4 6:1
- 01/10/26LM. W. Donald#353Challenger Bari · R167:6 3:6 1:3
- 29/09/26WJohn Sperle#666Challenger Bari · R327:5 6:7 6:4
- 25/08/26LGrigor Dimitrov#134ATP US Open · Q10:6 3:6
- 21/08/26LBenjamin Hassan#459Challenger Sion · SF6:3 2:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Caniato | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–30% | 11–955% |
| Clay | 25–1858% | 24–2252% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.