Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Noguchi vs Daniel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Rio Noguchi31%
Taro Daniel69%
Elo: R. Noguchi 39% · T. Daniel 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 R. Noguchi18%
2:1 R. Noguchi14%
2:1 T. Daniel22%
2:0 T. Daniel46%
First set
Rio Noguchi36%
Taro Daniel64%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 5,093 matches
Games handicap
T. Daniel −3.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Noguchi | Tour | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.13 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/18 | 9/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 61 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rio Noguchi
- 12/11/26WYi Zhou#279Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:4
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
- 27/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Seoul · R323:6 1:6
- 20/10/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:2 1:6 6:7
- 05/10/26LAlexandre Muller#153ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:4 1:6
- 23/09/26LDalibor Svrcina#112ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#439ATP Hangzhou · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/09/26LPavel Kotov#167Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF1:6 6:7
- 16/09/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:3
- 14/09/26WKaichi Uchida#431Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 6:2 6:3
Taro Daniel
- 12/11/26WMax Schoenhaus#306Challenger Matsuyama · R166:2 6:1
- 10/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:0
- 29/10/26LTerence Atmane#75Challenger Seoul · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WAndre Ilagan#196Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:1
- 17/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#86ATP Almaty · Q12:6 5:7
- 05/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#128ATP Shanghai · Q16:2 2:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Tokyo · Q13:6 2:6
- 25/09/26LFabian Marozsan#63ATP Hangzhou · R167:6 5:7 6:7
- 24/09/26WDane Sweeny#116ATP Hangzhou · R327:6 6:2
- 23/09/26WHayato Matsuoka#246ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:6
Elo over the last year
Rio NoguchiTaro Daniel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Noguchi | T. Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 32–2160% | 20–1459% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 21–678% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 0–0 |
Head to head
R. Noguchi 0–1 T. Daniel
- 15/10/23Winner: T. Daniel5:7 4:6
Road through the tournament
Rio Noguchi
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
- 12/11/26WYi Zhou#279Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:4
Taro Daniel
- 10/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:0
- 12/11/26WMax Schoenhaus#306Challenger Matsuyama · R166:2 6:1
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