Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Uchida vs Harris: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 59mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Kaichi Uchida21%
Billy Harris79%
Elo: K. Uchida 25% · B. Harris 76%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 K. Uchida11%
2:1 K. Uchida9%
2:1 B. Harris21%
2:0 B. Harris58%
First set
Kaichi Uchida27%
Billy Harris73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 32% | 68% | 35% |
Sample: 3,211 matches
Games handicap
B. Harris −4.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Uchida | Tour | B. Harris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 25% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/17 | 13/35 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kaichi Uchida
- 11/11/26WJoel Schwaerzler#169Challenger Matsuyama · R167:6 5:7 6:0
- 10/11/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:7 6:3
- 02/11/26LChun-Chien HouChallenger Taipei · Q26:7 6:7
- 01/11/26WAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger Taipei · Q16:1 4:0
- 28/10/26LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Ningbo · R162:6 3:6
- 26/10/26WOgnjen Milic#392Challenger Ningbo · R327:6 6:2
- 20/10/26LZhizhen Zhang#156Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:7 3:6
- 12/10/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · Q22:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WJesse DelaneyChallenger Jinan · Q16:2 7:5
- 08/10/26LRyan Seggerman#560Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 5:7 4:6
Billy Harris
- 11/11/26WFajing Sun#297Challenger Matsuyama · R166:1 6:3
- 09/11/26WLiam Broady#215Challenger Matsuyama · R322:6 6:3 7:5
- 04/11/26LJan Kumstat#162Challenger Taipei · R166:7 4:6
- 03/11/26WKuan-Shou Chen#735Challenger Taipei · R326:2 6:2
- 31/10/26LTerence Atmane#75Challenger Seoul · SF3:6 1:6
- 30/10/26WRei Sakamoto#122Challenger Seoul · QF3:0
- 28/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#137Challenger Seoul · R166:2 6:4
- 26/10/26WJangjun Kim#849Challenger Seoul · R327:6 6:2
- 14/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#517Challenger Roanne · R325:7 6:7
- 05/10/26LDalibor Svrcina#112ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 6:7 5:7
Elo over the last year
Kaichi UchidaBilly Harris
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Uchida | B. Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–2540% | 16–2341% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 1–811% |
| Grass | 0–30% | 7–464% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Kaichi Uchida
- 10/11/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 6:7 6:3
- 11/11/26WJoel Schwaerzler#169Challenger Matsuyama · R167:6 5:7 6:0
Billy Harris
- 09/11/26WLiam Broady#215Challenger Matsuyama · R322:6 6:3 7:5
- 11/11/26WFajing Sun#297Challenger Matsuyama · R166:1 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Friend, · Challenger Matsuyama
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- Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Rei Sakamoto vs Ognjen Milic, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Lorenzo Carboni vs Philip Henning, · Challenger Hersonissos 3