Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Sakamoto vs Milic: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 59mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Rei Sakamoto88%
Ognjen Milic12%
Elo: R. Sakamoto 87% · O. Milic 13%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 R. Sakamoto69%
2:1 R. Sakamoto19%
2:1 O. Milic6%
2:0 O. Milic7%
First set
Rei Sakamoto80%
Ognjen Milic20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%
Total games
Expected total: 21.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 62% | 38% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 52% | 48% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 44% | 56% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 62% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 32% | 68% | 42% |
Sample: 1,847 matches
Games handicap
R. Sakamoto −5.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Sakamoto | Tour | O. Milic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/40 | 4/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 44% | |
| Matches in the sample | 76 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rei Sakamoto
- 12/11/26WKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:2
- 10/11/26WRenta Tokuda#992Challenger Matsuyama · R326:1 6:2
- 30/10/26LBilly Harris#227Challenger Seoul · QF0:3
- 28/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#156Challenger Seoul · R166:0 6:4
- 26/10/26WKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Almaty · R322:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#166ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#614ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
Ognjen Milic
- 12/11/26WShunsuke NakagawaChallenger Matsuyama · R166:1 6:2
- 10/11/26WHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Matsuyama · R321:6 7:6 6:3
- 26/10/26LKaichi Uchida#431Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 2:6
- 20/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 7:6 6:7
- 07/09/26LAlex Barrena#232Challenger Tulln · R326:3 2:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#274Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R160:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WGeorge Lazarov#723Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 5:7 6:2
- 18/08/26LLucio Ratti#372Challenger Sion · R322:6 6:4 5:7
- 06/08/26LGabriele Piraino#391Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R164:6 3:6
- 04/08/26WIvan Ivanov#459Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:0 6:0
Elo over the last year
Rei SakamotoOgnjen Milic
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Sakamoto | O. Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 38–1967% | 10–759% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 6–940% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Rei Sakamoto
- 10/11/26WRenta Tokuda#992Challenger Matsuyama · R326:1 6:2
- 12/11/26WKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Matsuyama · R166:4 6:2
Ognjen Milic
- 10/11/26WHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Matsuyama · R321:6 7:6 6:3
- 12/11/26WShunsuke NakagawaChallenger Matsuyama · R166:1 6:2
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