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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Baris vs Zheng: prediction and tips

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Ozan BarisATP #397Elo 1625hard 1614
-:-
Michael ZhengATP #100Elo 1842hard 1812

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.573%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zheng: 10 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: No66%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 66%

    Baris: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.544%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Baris: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Ozan Baris27%
Michael Zheng73%

Elo: O. Baris 24% · M. Zheng 76%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Baris15%
2:1 O. Baris12%
2:1 M. Zheng22%
2:0 M. Zheng51%

First set

Ozan Baris33%
Michael Zheng67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,313 matches

Games handicap

M. Zheng −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. BarisTourM. Zheng
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve25%24%28%
Aces per service game0.410.45
Double faults per game0.220.21
Sets with a tie-break9%18%
Tie-breaks won2/58/25
Wins in straight sets79%53%
Matches in the sample2452

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ozan Baris

Michael Zheng

Elo over the last year

Ozan BarisMichael Zheng

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. BarisM. Zheng
Hard court13–959%24–1562%
Clay0–03–260%
Grass1–150%5–363%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ozan Baris

Michael Zheng

Upcoming matches

See also