Kozlov vs Shick: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kozlov: 6 matches in a row winning the first set; Kozlov won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Shick lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Kozlov70%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kozlov: 6 wins in a row; Kozlov won 7 of the last 10 matches
- Tie-break in Match: No71%
Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 71%
Shick: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Kozlov 11 of 20, Shick 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: S. Kozlov 56% · B. Shick 44%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 35% |
Sample: 5,172 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Kozlov | Tour | B. Shick | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/17 | 9/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 46% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 40 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Stefan Kozlov
- 10/11/26WAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Knoxville · R326:3 7:6
- 08/11/26WAidan Mayo#235Challenger Charlottesville · F7:5 2:6 7:6
- 07/11/26WClement Chidekh#129Challenger Charlottesville · SF6:2 1:6 6:4
- 06/11/26WBraden Shick#206Challenger Charlottesville · QF6:4 6:1
- 04/11/26WMurphy Cassone#286Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 6:2
- 03/11/26WAndres Martin#364Challenger Charlottesville · R326:4 6:0
- 29/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#241Challenger Sioux Falls · R165:7 4:6
- 27/10/26WMurphy Cassone#286Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 6:3 3:0
- 01/10/26LMitchell Krueger#482Challenger Columbus · R162:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#516Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2
Braden Shick
- 11/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#415Challenger Knoxville · R321:6 6:4 6:4
- 06/11/26LStefan Kozlov#205Challenger Charlottesville · QF4:6 1:6
- 04/11/26WDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Charlottesville · R167:5 6:3
- 02/11/26WColton Smith#220Challenger Charlottesville · R322:3
- 27/10/26LMax Hans Rehberg#241Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 3:6
- 20/10/26LGabriel Debru#554Challenger Fort Worth · R326:2 2:6 2:6
- 30/09/26LMees Rottgering#294Challenger Columbus · R161:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WOzan Baris#397Challenger Columbus · R327:6 0:6 6:3
- 21/09/26LPatrick Maloney#779Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 6:7
- 16/09/26LJeffrey John Wolf#201Challenger Tiburon · R164:6 7:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Kozlov | B. Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–1958% | 20–1557% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 3–175% | 0–10% |
Head to head
S. Kozlov 1–0 B. Shick
- 06/11/26Winner: S. Kozlov6:4 6:1
Road through the tournament
Stefan Kozlov
- 10/11/26WAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Knoxville · R326:3 7:6
Braden Shick
- 11/11/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#415Challenger Knoxville · R321:6 6:4 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng, · Challenger Knoxville
- Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Alastair Gray, · Challenger Knoxville
- Nishesh Basavareddy vs Kyrian Jacquet, · Challenger Orleans
- Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Jessica Pegula vs Linda Nosková, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Marcos Giron vs Abdullah Shelbayh, · Challenger Knoxville