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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Planinsek vs Gray: prediction and tips

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Filip Jeff PlaninsekATP #510Elo 1559hard 1597
-:-
Alastair GrayATP #270Elo 1603hard 1582

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: No65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 65%

Planinsek: 5 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.534%

Where the number comes from: market alone 36% → with the players' profiles 34%

Gray: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Filip Jeff Planinsek28%
Alastair Gray72%

Elo: F. Planinsek 52% · A. Gray 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Planinsek16%
2:1 F. Planinsek13%
2:1 A. Gray22%
2:0 A. Gray49%

First set

Filip Jeff Planinsek34%
Alastair Gray66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%64%35%

Sample: 4,649 matches

Games handicap

A. Gray −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. PlaninsekTourA. Gray
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve25%24%22%
Aces per service game0.580.58
Double faults per game0.300.27
Sets with a tie-break7%19%
Tie-breaks won1/17/19
Wins in straight sets50%64%
Matches in the sample644

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Jeff Planinsek

Alastair Gray

Elo over the last year

Filip Jeff PlaninsekAlastair Gray

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. PlaninsekA. Gray
Hard court3–0100%16–1847%
Clay0–10%0–0
Grass1–150%6–460%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Filip Jeff Planinsek

Alastair Gray

Upcoming matches