Skip to content
WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsRound robinhardbest of three sets

Pegula vs Nosková: prediction and tips

·

Jessica PegulaWTA #5Elo 2166hard 2146
-:-
Linda NoskováWTA #8Elo 2125hard 2064

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.561%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in 4 of their 4 head-to-head matches; Pegula: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.532%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in 3 of their 4 head-to-head matches; Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Pegula 9 of 20, Noskova 6 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Jessica Pegula47%
Linda Nosková53%

Elo: J. Pegula 62% · L. Nosková 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pegula30%
2:1 J. Pegula19%
2:1 L. Nosková19%
2:0 L. Nosková32%

First set

Jessica Pegula49%
Linda Nosková51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 57%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,402 matches

Games handicap

L. Nosková −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PegulaTourL. Nosková
Service points won62%56%63%
Return points won45%44%42%
Service games held75%63%79%
Breaks of serve37%37%32%
Aces per service game0.370.60
Double faults per game0.180.45
Sets with a tie-break9%11%
Tie-breaks won10/144/13
Wins in straight sets61%65%
Matches in the sample6652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jessica Pegula

Linda Nosková

Elo over the last year

Jessica PegulaLinda Nosková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PegulaL. Nosková
Hard court35–1078%19–1066%
Clay9–375%6–460%
Grass7–278%12–192%

Head to head

J. Pegula 1–3 L. Nosková

  • 21/06/26Winner: L. Nosková4:6 6:4 3:6
  • 04/10/25Winner: L. Nosková3:6 6:1 6:7
  • 27/06/25Winner: J. Pegula6:7 7:5 6:1
  • 19/02/25Winner: L. Nosková3:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Jessica Pegula

Linda Nosková

Upcoming matches

See also