Sabalenka vs Svitolina: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 22h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Sabalenka 69% · E. Svitolina 31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,402 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Sabalenka | Tour | E. Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 80% | 63% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 42% |
| Aces per service game | 0.45 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/19 | 10/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aryna Sabalenka
- 11/11/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR4:6 0:6
- 09/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR7:6 7:5
- 14/10/26LAnn Li#31WTA Wuhan · R326:3 4:6 6:7
- 04/10/26LNikola Bartunkova#30WTA Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WRenata Zarazua#114WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:3
- 12/09/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA US Open · F4:6 7:5 2:6
- 10/09/26WJessica Pegula#5WTA US Open · SF7:5 6:2
- 08/09/26WLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · QF7:6 3:6 7:6
- 06/09/26WTaylor Townsend#93WTA US Open · R166:4 6:3
- 04/09/26WKamilla Rakhimova#45WTA US Open · R326:3 6:4
Elina Svitolina
- 11/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR3:6 6:2 6:2
- 09/11/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR4:6 0:6
- 16/10/26LSonay Kartal#53WTA Wuhan · QF2:6 6:2 4:6
- 15/10/26WHanyu Guo#215WTA Wuhan · R166:1 6:4
- 14/10/26WLiudmila Samsonova#40WTA Wuhan · R326:2 5:7 6:2
- 09/10/26LQinwen Zheng#22WTA Beijing · QF3:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WAnn Li#31WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WMaria Sakkari#29WTA Beijing · R326:4 7:5
- 03/10/26WKateřina Siniaková#48WTA Beijing · R641:6 6:4 6:2
- 05/09/26LAnna Kalinskaya#26WTA US Open · R323:6 6:2 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Sabalenka | E. Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 35–783% | 34–1176% |
| Clay | 8–373% | 12–380% |
| Grass | 5–271% | 3–260% |
Head to head
A. Sabalenka 6–1 E. Svitolina
- 29/01/26Winner: A. Sabalenka6:2 6:3
- 01/05/25Winner: A. Sabalenka6:3 7:5
- 16/08/24Winner: A. Sabalenka7:5 6:2
- 13/05/24Winner: A. Sabalenka4:6 6:1 7:6
- 06/06/23Winner: A. Sabalenka6:4 6:4
- 25/09/20Winner: E. Svitolina2:6 6:4 4:6
- 25/09/18Winner: A. Sabalenka6:4 2:6 6:1
Road through the tournament
Aryna Sabalenka
- 09/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR7:6 7:5
- 11/11/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR4:6 0:6
Elina Svitolina
- 09/11/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR4:6 0:6
- 11/11/26WKarolína Muchová#7WTA WTA Tour Finals · RR3:6 6:2 6:2
Upcoming matches
- Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Jessica Pegula vs Linda Nosková, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Francesco Maestrelli vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Altmaier, · Challenger Orleans
- Mirra Andreeva vs Karolína Muchová, · WTA WTA Tour Finals