Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Maestrelli vs Nagal: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 15h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli57%
Sumit Nagal44%
Elo: F. Maestrelli 48% · S. Nagal 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Maestrelli36%
2:1 F. Maestrelli21%
2:1 S. Nagal17%
2:0 S. Nagal26%
First set
Francesco Maestrelli55%
Sumit Nagal45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 6,008 matches
Games handicap
F. Maestrelli −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Maestrelli | Tour | S. Nagal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.16 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/30 | 8/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francesco Maestrelli
- 11/11/26WJohannus Monday#493Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 10/11/26WJack Loge#401Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 06/11/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Taranto · QF6:7 4:6
- 05/11/26WPeter Makk#518Challenger Taranto · R166:3 6:2
- 03/11/26WFrancesco Forti#320Challenger Taranto · R326:3 6:2
- 30/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · QF3:6 4:6
- 28/10/26WGabriel Diallo#166Challenger Brest · R166:4 2:2
- 27/10/26WMoez Echargui#360Challenger Brest · R327:6 6:3
- 18/10/26LBorna Gojo#134ATP Lyon · Q16:4 3:6 6:7
- 15/10/26LMaxim Mrva#226Challenger Olbia · R163:6 4:6
Sumit Nagal
- 11/11/26WMichael Geerts#356Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R167:6 6:4
- 10/11/26WKarim Bennani#458Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:1 6:0
- 06/11/26LKilian Feldbausch#238Challenger Taranto · QF3:6 7:5 6:7
- 05/11/26WHugo Grenier#418Challenger Taranto · R166:3 6:2
- 03/11/26WGeorgii Kravchenko#274Challenger Taranto · R327:6 6:2
- 23/10/26LAlexander Ritschard#280Challenger Lisbon · QF5:7 2:6
- 22/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#454Challenger Lisbon · R167:6 2:0
- 20/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#322Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:2
- 14/10/26LLuka Mikrut#255Challenger Maia · R164:6 2:6
- 12/10/26WHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Maia · R323:6 7:5 7:6
Elo over the last year
Francesco MaestrelliSumit Nagal
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Maestrelli | S. Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1959% | 9–756% |
| Clay | 2–1017% | 20–1951% |
| Grass | 0–30% | 0–0 |
Head to head
F. Maestrelli 0–1 S. Nagal
- 25/04/23Winner: S. Nagal2:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Francesco Maestrelli
- 10/11/26WJack Loge#401Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 11/11/26WJohannus Monday#493Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:3 6:3
Sumit Nagal
- 10/11/26WKarim Bennani#458Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:1 6:0
- 11/11/26WMichael Geerts#356Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R167:6 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Elizabeth Mandlik vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia, · WTA 125 Sopo
- Laura Samson vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela, · WTA 125 Sopo
- Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng, · Challenger Knoxville
- Lorenzo Carboni vs Philip Henning, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Massimo Giunta vs Henry Searle, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev, · Challenger Hersonissos 3