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WTA 125 SopoQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Mandlik vs Lazaro Garcia: prediction and tips

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Elizabeth MandlikWTA #237Elo 1541clay 1521
-:-
Andrea Lazaro GarciaWTA #143Elo 1721clay 1716

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.559%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mandlik: 11 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Mandlik 15 of 20, Lazaro Garcia 10 of 20 (tour average 52%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.532%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Mandlik 10 of 20, Lazaro Garcia 8 of 20 (tour average 27%); Lazaro Garcia: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Elizabeth Mandlik43%
Andrea Lazaro Garcia57%

Elo: E. Mandlik 25% · A. Lazaro Garcia 76%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Mandlik27%
2:1 E. Mandlik18%
2:1 A. Lazaro Garcia22%
2:0 A. Lazaro Garcia34%

First set

Elizabeth Mandlik48%
Andrea Lazaro Garcia52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.537%64%31%

Sample: 1,539 matches

Games handicap

A. Lazaro Garcia −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. MandlikTourA. Lazaro Garcia
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held62%63%65%
Breaks of serve34%37%41%
Aces per service game0.150.11
Double faults per game0.440.38
Sets with a tie-break12%13%
Tie-breaks won4/86/11
Wins in straight sets50%70%
Matches in the sample2837

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elizabeth Mandlik

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Elo over the last year

Elizabeth MandlikAndrea Lazaro Garcia

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. MandlikA. Lazaro Garcia
Hard court2–722%8–467%
Clay4–833%14–961%
Grass4–357%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Elizabeth Mandlik

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Upcoming matches

See also