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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Mandlik vs Erjavec 2:1: result and our tips

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Elizabeth MandlikWTA #237Elo 1494clay 1454
2:1final6:3 4:6 6:2
Veronika ErjavecWTA #161Elo 1610clay 1640

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mandlik: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Mandlik 14 of 20, Erjavec 11 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Mandlik: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Mandlik 11 of 20, Erjavec 7 of 20 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elizabeth Mandlik49%
Veronika Erjavec51%

Elo: E. Mandlik 26% · V. Erjavec 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Mandlik30%
2:1 E. Mandlik19%
2:1 V. Erjavec20%
2:0 V. Erjavec31%

First set

Elizabeth Mandlik50%
Veronika Erjavec50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%42%51%
20.552%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%56%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,395 matches

Games handicap

V. Erjavec −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Elizabeth MandlikVeronika Erjavec
2Aces2
7Double faults3
68%First serves in67%
54%First-serve points won45%
50%Second-serve points won48%
8/16Break points converted5/11
8/13Service games held6/14
53%Service points won46%
54%Return points won47%
96Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. MandlikTourV. Erjavec
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held62%63%63%
Breaks of serve32%37%39%
Aces per service game0.150.10
Double faults per game0.430.15
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won3/73/12
Wins in straight sets50%73%
Matches in the sample2652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elizabeth Mandlik

Veronika Erjavec

  • 24/09/26LNuria Brancaccio#220WTA 125 Tolentino · R167:5 3:5
  • 22/09/26WKaterina Tsygourova#428WTA 125 Tolentino · R324:6 6:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26LFrancesca Curmi#196WTA 125 Valencia · R321:6 6:2 2:6
  • 30/08/26LJasmine Paolini#35WTA US Open · R1283:6 6:3 4:6
  • 24/08/26LJulia Grabher#115WTA 125 Philadelphia · R326:7 6:3 6:7
  • 11/08/26LMary Stoiana#116WTA Cincinnati · Q12:6 6:7
  • 21/07/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#111WTA Hamburg · R322:6 2:6
  • 18/07/26LJulia Grabher#115WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · SF1:6 4:6
  • 17/07/26WGina Feistel#275WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · QF6:2 7:5
  • 15/07/26WMona Barthel#197WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R166:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Elizabeth MandlikVeronika Erjavec

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. MandlikV. Erjavec
Hard court2–722%2–722%
Clay2–820%23–1659%
Grass4–357%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also