WTA 125 SopoRound of 16claybest of three sets
Maria vs Tubello: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tatjana Maria54%
Alice Tubello47%
Elo: T. Maria 41% · A. Tubello 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Maria33%
2:1 T. Maria21%
2:1 A. Tubello19%
2:0 A. Tubello28%
First set
Tatjana Maria51%
Alice Tubello49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,454 matches
Games handicap
T. Maria −0.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Maria | Tour | A. Tubello | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 68% | 63% | 61% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 37% | 42% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.09 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 4/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tatjana Maria
- 09/11/26WLuisina Giovannini#186WTA 125 Sopo · R324:6 7:5 7:5
- 01/11/26LBianca Andreescu#100WTA 125 Querétaro · F1:6 6:2 3:6
- 01/11/26WFiona Ferro#98WTA 125 Querétaro · SF7:5 3:6 6:1
- 30/10/26WValeriya Strakhova#401WTA 125 Querétaro · QF7:6 6:3
- 29/10/26WMartina Colmegna#402WTA 125 Querétaro · R166:1 7:6
- 27/10/26WCarlota Garibay RomeroWTA 125 Querétaro · R326:0 6:0
- 14/09/26LTaylor Townsend#93WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 3:6 2:6
- 03/09/26LNikola Bartunkova#30WTA US Open · R647:6 2:6 3:6
- 01/09/26WJeļena Ostapenko#25WTA US Open · R1284:6 6:1 6:2
- 15/08/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Cincinnati · R642:6 5:7
Alice Tubello
- 10/11/26WJulia Riera#137WTA 125 Sopo · R327:6 6:2
- 06/11/26LBianca Andreescu#100WTA 125 Cali · SF0:6 4:6
- 05/11/26WLeolia Jeanjean#89WTA 125 Cali · QF6:3 6:2
- 04/11/26WMarina Bassols Ribera#129WTA 125 Cali · R166:1 6:1
- 03/11/26WRebeka Masarova#160WTA 125 Cali · R326:3 6:0
- 01/11/26WJulia Grabher#115WTA 125 Curitiba · F3:6 7:6 7:6
- 31/10/26WNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva#465WTA 125 Curitiba · SF6:0 6:1
- 30/10/26WJazmin Ortenzi#187WTA 125 Curitiba · QF2:6 6:2 6:3
- 28/10/26WLuna Maria Cinalli#596WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:4 6:3
- 26/10/26WLaura Samson#119WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:0 6:4
Elo over the last year
Tatjana MariaAlice Tubello
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Maria | A. Tubello | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 6–1529% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 12–860% | 17–1161% |
| Grass | 16–576% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Tatjana Maria
- 09/11/26WLuisina Giovannini#186WTA 125 Sopo · R324:6 7:5 7:5
Alice Tubello
- 10/11/26WJulia Riera#137WTA 125 Sopo · R327:6 6:2
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