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WTA 125 SopoRound of 32claybest of three sets

Tubello vs Riera: prediction and tips

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Alice TubelloWTA #146Elo 1743clay 1760
-:-awaiting result
Julia RieraWTA #137Elo 1684clay 1706

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alice Tubello52%
Julia Riera49%

Elo: A. Tubello 58% · J. Riera 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Tubello31%
2:1 A. Tubello20%
2:1 J. Riera19%
2:0 J. Riera29%

First set

Alice Tubello50%
Julia Riera50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%51%
20.552%48%45%
21.549%51%41%
22.544%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,408 matches

Games handicap

A. Tubello −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. TubelloTourJ. Riera
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won47%44%46%
Service games held61%63%60%
Breaks of serve42%37%40%
Aces per service game0.090.19
Double faults per game0.230.42
Sets with a tie-break7%10%
Tie-breaks won3/54/9
Wins in straight sets69%33%
Matches in the sample3035

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alice Tubello

Julia Riera

Elo over the last year

Alice TubelloJulia Riera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. TubelloJ. Riera
Hard court0–20%4–640%
Clay16–1159%13–1057%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also