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WTA 125 CaliSemifinalclaybest of three sets

Romero Gormaz vs Riera: prediction and tips

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Leyre Romero GormazWTA #131Elo 1712clay 1738
-:-awaiting result
Julia RieraWTA #137Elo 1702clay 1725

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leyre Romero Gormaz55%
Julia Riera45%

Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 52% · J. Riera 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Romero Gormaz33%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz21%
2:1 J. Riera18%
2:0 J. Riera28%

First set

Leyre Romero Gormaz51%
Julia Riera49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.558%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,481 matches

Games handicap

L. Romero Gormaz −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Romero GormazTourJ. Riera
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won47%44%46%
Service games held63%63%60%
Breaks of serve46%37%40%
Aces per service game0.200.19
Double faults per game0.410.40
Sets with a tie-break8%10%
Tie-breaks won2/114/9
Wins in straight sets67%33%
Matches in the sample5535

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Julia Riera

Elo over the last year

Leyre Romero GormazJulia Riera

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Romero GormazJ. Riera
Hard court3–538%4–640%
Clay30–1665%13–1057%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

L. Romero Gormaz 1–0 J. Riera

  • 05/11/24Winner: L. Romero Gormaz7:6 6:3

Road through the tournament

Leyre Romero Gormaz

Julia Riera

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