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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Boyer vs Alcala Gurri: prediction and tips

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Tristan BoyerATP #208Elo 1759clay 1768
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Max Alcala GurriATP #131Elo 1820clay 1822

Our tips

Tip in 22h 49m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Tristan Boyer41%
Max Alcala Gurri59%

Elo: T. Boyer 42% · M. Alcala Gurri 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Boyer23%
2:1 T. Boyer17%
2:1 M. Alcala Gurri22%
2:0 M. Alcala Gurri38%

First set

Tristan Boyer42%
Max Alcala Gurri58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%65%34%

Sample: 4,978 matches

Games handicap

M. Alcala Gurri −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. BoyerTourM. Alcala Gurri
Service points won62%62%61%
Return points won40%38%47%
Service games held76%76%73%
Breaks of serve28%24%43%
Aces per service game0.310.10
Double faults per game0.190.24
Sets with a tie-break13%8%
Tie-breaks won7/165/9
Wins in straight sets59%74%
Matches in the sample5253

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tristan Boyer

Max Alcala Gurri

Elo over the last year

Tristan BoyerMax Alcala Gurri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. BoyerM. Alcala Gurri
Hard court11–1346%0–10%
Clay15–865%38–1473%
Grass3–260%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tristan Boyer

Max Alcala Gurri

Upcoming matches