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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Reis Da Silva vs Bueno: prediction and tips

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Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #190Elo 1771clay 1783
-:-
Gonzalo BuenoATP #184Elo 1719clay 1727

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.562%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in 6 of their 6 head-to-head matches; No third set in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 17 of 20, Bueno 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Reis Da Silva61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Reis Da Silva won 8 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 23.561%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 61%

    Reis Da Silva: 5 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
Set Betting: Reis Da Silva 2-040%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Reis Da Silva won 2-0 in 4 of their 6 head-to-head matches; Reis Da Silva won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Bueno lost 0-2 in 6 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva61%
Gonzalo Bueno39%

Elo: J. Reis Da Silva 58% · G. Bueno 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Reis Da Silva40%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva22%
2:1 G. Bueno16%
2:0 G. Bueno22%

First set

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva59%
Gonzalo Bueno41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,928 matches

Games handicap

J. Reis Da Silva −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Reis Da SilvaTourG. Bueno
Service points won62%62%57%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held74%76%67%
Breaks of serve26%24%32%
Aces per service game0.270.13
Double faults per game0.160.31
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won7/1411/15
Wins in straight sets66%64%
Matches in the sample6068

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Gonzalo Bueno

Elo over the last year

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaGonzalo Bueno

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Reis Da SilvaG. Bueno
Hard court0–20%3–350%
Clay32–2556%36–2559%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

J. Reis Da Silva 4–2 G. Bueno

  • 31/08/26Winner: G. Bueno2:6 5:7
  • 08/11/25Winner: J. Reis Da Silva6:4 6:3
  • 22/07/25Winner: J. Reis Da Silva6:2 6:2
  • 12/06/24Winner: J. Reis Da Silva7:6 6:4
  • 13/01/24Winner: G. Bueno4:6 4:6
  • 21/11/23Winner: J. Reis Da Silva7:6 7:6

Road through the tournament

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Gonzalo Bueno

Upcoming matches

See also