Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Gorzny vs Bolt: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tip in 8h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny51%
Alex Bolt49%
Elo: S. Gorzny 48% · A. Bolt 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Gorzny32%
2:1 S. Gorzny20%
2:1 A. Bolt19%
2:0 A. Bolt29%
First set
Sebastian Gorzny51%
Alex Bolt49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 32% |
Sample: 5,461 matches
Games handicap
S. Gorzny −0.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Gorzny | Tour | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.66 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/7 | 20/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 25 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastian Gorzny
- 11/11/26WMatthew Dellavedova#224Challenger Brisbane 3 · R167:5 6:4
- 10/11/26WIsaac Becroft#521Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:1 3:6 6:3
- 27/10/26LDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Sioux Falls · R324:6 2:6
- 20/10/26LIgor Marcondes#285Challenger Fort Worth · R325:7 6:2 4:6
- 24/09/26LTristan Boyer#208Challenger San Diego 2 · R164:6 6:7
- 22/09/26WMitchell Krueger#482Challenger San Diego 2 · R324:6 7:5 7:5
- 21/09/26WAidan Mayo#235Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:3 6:4
- 20/09/26WAndrew Johnson#720Challenger San Diego 2 · Q17:5 6:0
- 18/09/26LJeffrey John Wolf#201Challenger Tiburon · QF6:7 6:1 5:7
- 16/09/26WNishesh Basavareddy#126Challenger Tiburon · R166:2 6:4
Alex Bolt
- 11/11/26WAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:4 3:6 7:6
- 10/11/26WHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 6:3
- 05/10/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Jingshan · SF7:5 6:7
- 02/10/26WDane Sweeny#116Challenger Jingshan · QF6:3 7:6
- 01/10/26WEvan Zhu#461Challenger Jingshan · R166:7 6:4 6:2
- 29/09/26WSemen Pankin#421Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:2
- 24/09/26LFabian Marozsan#63ATP Hangzhou · R324:6 2:6
- 23/09/26WAkira Santillan#349ATP Hangzhou · Q26:1 2:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WOmar Jasika#301ATP Hangzhou · Q16:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Sebastian GorznyAlex Bolt
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Gorzny | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1156% | 26–1859% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 6–367% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sebastian Gorzny
- 10/11/26WIsaac Becroft#521Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:1 3:6 6:3
- 11/11/26WMatthew Dellavedova#224Challenger Brisbane 3 · R167:5 6:4
Alex Bolt
- 10/11/26WHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 6:3
- 11/11/26WAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:4 3:6 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Akira Santillan vs Christian Langmo, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro Canas, · Challenger Monastir
- Tristan Boyer vs Max Alcala Gurri, · Challenger Lima
- Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh, · Challenger Knoxville