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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Gorzny vs Becroft 2:1: result and our tips

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Sebastian GorznyATP #403Elo 1697hard 1679
2:1final6:1 3:6 6:3
Isaac BecroftATP #521Elo 1518hard 1534

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Gorzny72%
Isaac Becroft28%

Elo: S. Gorzny 70% · I. Becroft 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Gorzny50%
2:1 S. Gorzny22%
2:1 I. Becroft13%
2:0 I. Becroft16%

First set

Sebastian Gorzny66%
Isaac Becroft34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,511 matches

Games handicap

S. Gorzny −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sebastian GorznyIsaac Becroft
23Aces7
3Double faults2
65%First serves in65%
78%First-serve points won67%
47%Second-serve points won50%
3/8Break points converted1/8
12/13Service games held9/12
67%Service points won61%
39%Return points won33%
90Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. GorznyTourI. Becroft
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held79%76%75%
Breaks of serve23%24%24%
Aces per service game0.550.38
Double faults per game0.310.20
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won3/70/1
Wins in straight sets50%0%
Matches in the sample234

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Gorzny

Isaac Becroft

Elo over the last year

Sebastian GorznyIsaac Becroft

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. GorznyI. Becroft
Hard court12–1152%2–167%
Clay0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sebastian Gorzny

First match in this tournament.

Isaac Becroft

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