Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Sweeny vs Shang: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 59mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Dane Sweeny39%
Juncheng Shang61%
Elo: D. Sweeny 27% · J. Shang 73%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Sweeny23%
2:1 D. Sweeny16%
2:1 J. Shang21%
2:0 J. Shang39%
First set
Dane Sweeny42%
Juncheng Shang58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 6,138 matches
Games handicap
J. Shang −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes37%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Sweeny | Tour | J. Shang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 20/34 | 2/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 38% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dane Sweeny
- 12/11/26WCasey Hoole#636Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:4 7:6
- 10/11/26WAnton Shepp#477Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 15/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#128Challenger Jinan · R163:6 6:7
- 13/10/26WBernard Tomic#176Challenger Jinan · R322:2
- 06/10/26LKimmer Coppejans#219ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 2:6
- 05/10/26WTristan Schoolkate#144ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 02/10/26LAlex Bolt#171Challenger Jingshan · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#271Challenger Jingshan · R166:4 6:1
- 30/09/26WOmar Jasika#301Challenger Jingshan · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 24/09/26LTaro Daniel#172ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 2:6
Juncheng Shang
- 12/11/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:7 6:2 6:1
- 10/11/26WJake Delaney#338Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 3:6 6:4
- 26/10/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Seoul · R324:6 3:6
- 03/10/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Beijing · R160:6 3:6
- 01/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Beijing · R325:7 6:3 7:5
- 24/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Chengdu · R326:7 2:6
- 31/08/26LMarco Trungelliti#88ATP US Open · R1286:0 6:7 6:1 3:6 4:6
- 14/08/26LLorenzo Sonego#115ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 3:6
- 06/08/26LLuciano Darderi#21ATP Montreal · R326:4 1:6 4:6
- 04/08/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Montreal · R647:5 4:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Dane SweenyJuncheng Shang
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Sweeny | J. Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–2557% | 8–1142% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 6–367% | 0–0 |
Head to head
D. Sweeny 0–1 J. Shang
- 07/09/23Winner: J. Shang4:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Dane Sweeny
- 10/11/26WAnton Shepp#477Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 12/11/26WCasey Hoole#636Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:4 7:6
Juncheng Shang
- 10/11/26WJake Delaney#338Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:3 3:6 6:4
- 12/11/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Brisbane 3 · R166:7 6:2 6:1
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