Challenger LimaChallenger 75Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tobon: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 22h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo68%
Miguel Tobon32%
Elo: N. Sanchez Izquierdo 65% · M. Tobon 35%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo45%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo23%
2:1 M. Tobon15%
2:0 M. Tobon18%
First set
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo63%
Miguel Tobon37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 30% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,257 matches
Games handicap
N. Sanchez Izquierdo −3.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Sanchez Izquierdo | Tour | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.33 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/27 | 13/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- 11/11/26WFilip Misolic#593Challenger Lima · R162:6 7:6 7:5
- 10/11/26WNicolas Jarry#790Challenger Lima · R327:6 4:6 7:5
- 03/11/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#65Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 4:6 2:6
- 20/10/26LBenjamin Hassan#454Challenger Lisbon · R323:6 6:1 3:6
- 15/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#157Challenger Maia · R166:7 6:7
- 13/10/26WAndrej Martin#352Challenger Maia · R326:4 6:4
- 08/10/26LTiago Pereira#317Challenger Braga · R165:7 3:6
- 05/10/26WGoncalo Marques#579Challenger Braga · R326:3 6:4
- 20/09/26WThiago Monteiro#225Challenger Szczecin · F4:6 6:3 7:6
- 19/09/26WLuka Mikrut#255Challenger Szczecin · SF6:3 6:4
Miguel Tobon
- 12/11/26WLautaro Midon#180Challenger Lima · R166:3 1:1
- 09/11/26WHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Lima · R327:6 6:1
- 02/11/26LLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q24:6 2:6
- 01/11/26WEnrique BogoChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q16:1 6:0
- 28/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · R323:6 3:6
- 26/10/26WDaniel Salazar Martinez#648Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:2 6:3
- 25/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:4
- 23/10/26LValerio Aboian#268Challenger Cali · QF6:1 6:7 2:6
- 22/10/26WNicolas Mejia#114Challenger Cali · R164:6 6:2 7:6
- 21/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#331Challenger Cali · R326:1 2:6 6:4
Elo over the last year
Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoMiguel Tobon
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Sanchez Izquierdo | M. Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 9–950% |
| Clay | 39–2858% | 21–1755% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- 10/11/26WNicolas Jarry#790Challenger Lima · R327:6 4:6 7:5
- 11/11/26WFilip Misolic#593Challenger Lima · R162:6 7:6 7:5
Miguel Tobon
- 09/11/26WHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Lima · R327:6 6:1
- 12/11/26WLautaro Midon#180Challenger Lima · R166:3 1:1
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