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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jarry: prediction and tips

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Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoATP #151Elo 1699clay 1702
-:-awaiting result
Nicolas JarryATP #790Elo 1777clay 1787

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.574%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Sanchez Izquierdo 16 of 20, Jarry 13 of 16 (tour average 68%); Sanchez Izquierdo: 8 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.539%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sanchez Izquierdo: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Sanchez Izquierdo 9 of 20, Jarry 7 of 16 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44%
Nicolas Jarry57%

Elo: N. Sanchez Izquierdo 38% · N. Jarry 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Sanchez Izquierdo25%
2:1 N. Sanchez Izquierdo18%
2:1 N. Jarry21%
2:0 N. Jarry36%

First set

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44%
Nicolas Jarry56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%43%52%
21.552%48%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,848 matches

Games handicap

N. Jarry −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. Sanchez IzquierdoTourN. Jarry
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won42%38%36%
Service games held75%76%79%
Breaks of serve31%24%20%
Aces per service game0.180.59
Double faults per game0.220.17
Sets with a tie-break16%31%
Tie-breaks won9/255/12
Wins in straight sets65%57%
Matches in the sample6717

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Nicolas Jarry

Elo over the last year

Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNicolas Jarry

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. Sanchez IzquierdoN. Jarry
Hard court0–10%0–50%
Clay37–2857%7–558%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

First match in this tournament.

Nicolas Jarry

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