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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Jarry vs Zeitune 2:0: result and our tips

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Nicolas JarryATP #790Elo 1771clay 1781
2:0final7:5 7:6(4)
Maximo ZeituneATP #514Elo 1549clay 1554

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nicolas Jarry79%
Maximo Zeitune21%

Elo: N. Jarry 79% · M. Zeitune 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Jarry57%
2:1 N. Jarry22%
2:1 M. Zeitune10%
2:0 M. Zeitune11%

First set

Nicolas Jarry72%
Maximo Zeitune28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%76%
18.569%31%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,579 matches

Games handicap

N. Jarry −4.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Nicolas JarryMaximo Zeitune
8Aces7
1Double faults3
91%First serves in82%
78%First-serve points won64%
50%Second-serve points won50%
3/5Break points converted2/3
10/12Service games held9/12
76%Service points won61%
39%Return points won24%
80Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. JarryTourM. Zeitune
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held79%76%78%
Breaks of serve20%24%25%
Aces per service game0.580.31
Double faults per game0.180.16
Sets with a tie-break30%12%
Tie-breaks won4/117/12
Wins in straight sets50%55%
Matches in the sample1640

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nicolas Jarry

Maximo Zeitune

Elo over the last year

Nicolas JarryMaximo Zeitune

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. JarryM. Zeitune
Hard court0–50%0–0
Clay6–555%22–1855%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Nicolas Jarry

Maximo Zeitune

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches

See also