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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ratti vs Zeitune 2:1: result and our tips

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Lucio RattiATP #371Elo 1466clay 1465
2:1final6:4 4:6 6:3
Maximo ZeituneATP #516Elo 1585clay 1590

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 71%

Ratti: 11 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon73%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 70% → with the players' profiles 73%

    Zeitune: 9 matches in a row without a tie-break

  • 1st Set Winner: ZeituneLost58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ratti lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Zeitune won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Ratti 11 of 20, Zeitune 8 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucio Ratti43%
Maximo Zeitune57%

Elo: L. Ratti 33% · M. Zeitune 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Ratti25%
2:1 L. Ratti18%
2:1 M. Zeitune21%
2:0 M. Zeitune37%

First set

Lucio Ratti44%
Maximo Zeitune56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,862 matches

Games handicap

M. Zeitune −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucio RattiMaximo Zeitune
3Aces0
4Double faults2
60%First serves in64%
78%First-serve points won63%
50%Second-serve points won55%
3/7Break points converted2/3
13/15Service games held11/14
67%Service points won60%
40%Return points won33%
98Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RattiTourM. Zeitune
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held71%76%78%
Breaks of serve33%24%25%
Aces per service game0.220.32
Double faults per game0.300.16
Sets with a tie-break10%13%
Tie-breaks won4/107/12
Wins in straight sets67%55%
Matches in the sample4239

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucio Ratti

Maximo Zeitune

Elo over the last year

Lucio RattiMaximo Zeitune

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RattiM. Zeitune
Hard court3–350%0–0
Clay18–1850%22–1756%

Head to head

L. Ratti 0–1 M. Zeitune

  • 05/10/26Winner: M. Zeitune1:6 6:4 2:6

See also