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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Magadan vs Barrena: prediction and tips

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Alan MagadanATP #491Elo 1593clay 1582
-:-
Alex BarrenaATP #232Elo 1685clay 1689

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Barrena70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Magadan lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Barrena won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.561%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 61%

    Magadan: 5 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Alan Magadan24%
Alex Barrena77%

Elo: A. Magadan 35% · A. Barrena 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Magadan13%
2:1 A. Magadan11%
2:1 A. Barrena22%
2:0 A. Barrena53%

First set

Alan Magadan30%
Alex Barrena70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.571%29%76%
18.562%39%68%
19.554%46%59%
20.548%52%52%
21.542%58%46%
22.537%63%40%
23.534%66%36%

Sample: 2,969 matches

Games handicap

A. Barrena −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. MagadanTourA. Barrena
Service points won60%62%57%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held73%76%68%
Breaks of serve26%24%31%
Aces per service game0.370.20
Double faults per game0.290.23
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won8/146/17
Wins in straight sets52%60%
Matches in the sample4162

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alan Magadan

  • 10/11/26WOriol Roca Batalla#283Challenger Lima · R323:6 6:3 6:4
  • 09/11/26LFilip Misolic#593Challenger Lima · Q21:6 6:7
  • 08/11/26WNicolas Barrientos#906Challenger Lima · Q16:4 7:5
  • 03/11/26LValerio Aboian#268Challenger Villa Maria · R326:4 1:6 1:6
  • 28/10/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#335Challenger Guayaquil · R325:7 1:6
  • 27/10/26WTristan McCormick#634Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:3 6:2
  • 25/10/26WMario Andre GalarragaChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:3 6:4
  • 19/10/26LDaniel Salazar Martinez#648Challenger Cali · Q23:6 1:6
  • 18/10/26WJuan Miguel Bolivar IdarragaChallenger Cali · Q16:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#549Challenger Antofagasta · Q21:6 4:6

Alex Barrena

Elo over the last year

Alan MagadanAlex Barrena

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. MagadanA. Barrena
Hard court8–850%0–20%
Clay13–1252%30–2951%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alan Magadan

Alex Barrena

Upcoming matches