Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets
Olivieri vs Varillas: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 29mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Genaro Alberto Olivieri41%
Juan Pablo Varillas59%
Elo: G. Olivieri 46% · J. Varillas 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 G. Olivieri23%
2:1 G. Olivieri17%
2:1 J. Varillas21%
2:0 J. Varillas38%
First set
Genaro Alberto Olivieri43%
Juan Pablo Varillas58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,972 matches
Games handicap
J. Varillas −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes24%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Olivieri | Tour | J. Varillas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 66% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.10 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.11 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/17 | 12/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- 10/11/26WElmer Moller#148Challenger Lima · R326:4 2:6 6:4
- 08/11/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#216Challenger Villa Maria · F2:6 3:6
- 07/11/26WFederico Coria#704Challenger Villa Maria · SF3:6 6:3 0:0
- 06/11/26WJuan Bautista Torres#325Challenger Villa Maria · QF6:4 6:2
- 05/11/26WIgnacio Monzon#551Challenger Villa Maria · R166:3 6:1
- 03/11/26WValentino GrippoChallenger Villa Maria · R326:2 6:2
- 27/10/26LDiego Dedura#185Challenger Guayaquil · R325:7 6:7
- 16/10/26LFrancisco Comesana#138Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF6:3 3:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WAlex Barrena#232Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 13/10/26WLucio Ratti#372Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:2
Juan Pablo Varillas
- 10/11/26WTomas Barrios Vera#191Challenger Lima · R324:6 6:3 6:4
- 03/11/26LFilip Misolic#593Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 2:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#260Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 3:6
- 21/10/26LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Cali · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#345Challenger Cali · R326:3 6:3
- 06/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 1:6
- 25/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF2:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WMurkel Dellien#464Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 22/09/26WTomas Farjat#761Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 6:2 7:6
- 11/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#98Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Genaro Alberto OlivieriJuan Pablo Varillas
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Olivieri | J. Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–233% | 0–10% |
| Clay | 29–2851% | 40–2760% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
G. Olivieri 0–2 J. Varillas
- 04/03/25Winner: J. Varillas0:6 6:7
- 13/10/22Winner: J. Varillas3:6 6:2 4:6
Road through the tournament
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- 10/11/26WElmer Moller#148Challenger Lima · R326:4 2:6 6:4
Juan Pablo Varillas
- 10/11/26WTomas Barrios Vera#191Challenger Lima · R324:6 6:3 6:4
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