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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Coria vs Olivieri: prediction and tips

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Federico CoriaATP #831Elo 1672clay 1679
-:-awaiting result
Genaro Alberto OlivieriATP #257Elo 1676clay 1677

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.561%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Coria: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 25.569%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 69%

    Coria: 6 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.533%

Where the number comes from: market alone 26% → with the players' profiles 33%

Olivieri: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games; Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Coria 7 of 20, Olivieri 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Federico Coria48%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri52%

Elo: F. Coria 50% · G. Olivieri 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Coria29%
2:1 F. Coria19%
2:1 G. Olivieri20%
2:0 G. Olivieri32%

First set

Federico Coria48%
Genaro Alberto Olivieri52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.541%59%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,437 matches

Games handicap

G. Olivieri −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. CoriaTourG. Olivieri
Service points won58%62%57%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held67%76%66%
Breaks of serve26%24%32%
Aces per service game0.220.10
Double faults per game0.230.11
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won4/79/17
Wins in straight sets56%57%
Matches in the sample2360

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Federico Coria

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Elo over the last year

Federico CoriaGenaro Alberto Olivieri

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. CoriaG. Olivieri
Hard court0–10%1–233%
Clay8–1240%27–2948%
Grass1–150%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Federico Coria

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Upcoming matches

See also