Skip to content
Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Diaz Acosta vs Seyboth Wild: prediction and tips

·

Facundo Diaz AcostaATP #72Elo 1929clay 1952
-:-
Thiago Seyboth WildATP #110Elo 1892clay 1905

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Seyboth Wild56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Seyboth Wild: 8 matches in a row winning the first set; Diaz Acosta lost the first set in 8 of the last 20 matches, Seyboth Wild won the first set in 19 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.557%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 20.5 games in 5 of their 5 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.548%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Diaz Acosta 13 of 20, Seyboth Wild 16 of 20 (tour average 54%); Seyboth Wild: 4 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Facundo Diaz Acosta42%
Thiago Seyboth Wild58%

Elo: F. Diaz Acosta 57% · T. Seyboth Wild 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Diaz Acosta24%
2:1 F. Diaz Acosta18%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild21%
2:0 T. Seyboth Wild38%

First set

Facundo Diaz Acosta43%
Thiago Seyboth Wild57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%43%52%
21.552%48%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,945 matches

Games handicap

T. Seyboth Wild −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. Diaz AcostaTourT. Seyboth Wild
Service points won63%62%67%
Return points won42%38%41%
Service games held77%76%85%
Breaks of serve33%24%30%
Aces per service game0.250.54
Double faults per game0.180.20
Sets with a tie-break16%13%
Tie-breaks won17/3211/18
Wins in straight sets61%82%
Matches in the sample8063

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Elo over the last year

Facundo Diaz AcostaThiago Seyboth Wild

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. Diaz AcostaT. Seyboth Wild
Hard court4–736%2–340%
Clay52–1676%43–1574%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

F. Diaz Acosta 2–3 T. Seyboth Wild

  • 10/02/25Winner: T. Seyboth Wild6:3 2:6 3:6
  • 08/01/24Winner: F. Diaz Acosta2:6 7:6 7:6
  • 11/03/23Winner: T. Seyboth Wild6:7 3:6
  • 02/12/21Winner: F. Diaz Acosta6:3 7:5
  • 23/11/21Winner: T. Seyboth Wild6:7 3:6

Road through the tournament

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Upcoming matches

See also