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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Hazawa vs Palan: prediction and tips

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Shinji HazawaATP #721Elo 1457hard 1449
-:-
Dominik PalanATP #606Elo 1430hard 1435

Our tips

Tip in 7h 12m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Shinji Hazawa38%
Dominik Palan62%

Elo: S. Hazawa 52% · D. Palan 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Hazawa22%
2:1 S. Hazawa16%
2:1 D. Palan22%
2:0 D. Palan40%

First set

Shinji Hazawa41%
Dominik Palan59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.557%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 6,004 matches

Games handicap

D. Palan −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. HazawaTourD. Palan
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won38%38%34%
Service games held78%76%80%
Breaks of serve23%24%17%
Aces per service game0.300.68
Double faults per game0.300.43
Sets with a tie-break13%18%
Tie-breaks won3/46/14
Wins in straight sets40%64%
Matches in the sample1233

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Shinji Hazawa

  • 03/05/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Wuxi · Q13:6 4:6
  • 08/02/26LTy HostChallenger Brisbane 2 · Q14:6 6:7
  • 05/02/26LJames McCabe#256Challenger Brisbane · R164:6 4:6
  • 03/02/26WMatthew Dellavedova#235Challenger Brisbane · R326:2 6:2
  • 02/02/26WYuki Mochizuki#834Challenger Brisbane · Q26:1 6:4
  • 01/02/26WAoran WangChallenger Brisbane · Q13:6 6:0 6:1
  • 04/01/26LKuan-Yi Lee#707Challenger Bengaluru · Q17:6 4:6 2:6
  • 22/11/25LFinn BassChallenger Playford · Q16:1 3:6 4:6
  • 18/11/25LBlake Ellis#412Challenger Sydney · R327:6 2:6 4:6
  • 16/11/25WBlaise Bicknell#436Challenger Sydney · Q13:6 7:6 6:4

Dominik Palan

  • 01/11/26LYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Taipei · Q16:7 0:6
  • 25/10/26LEgor Pleshivtsev#783Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 1:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26LLiam Broady#212Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R327:6 4:6 2:6
  • 19/10/26WSemen Pankin#424Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WArthur Weber#419Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 7:6 6:4
  • 06/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 28/09/26LTerence Atmane#73Challenger Jingshan · Q11:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#726Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 2:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 1:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Shinji HazawaDominik Palan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. HazawaD. Palan
Hard court5–742%14–1745%
Clay0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also