Skip to content
Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

O'Connell vs Ferguson: prediction and tips

·

Benjamin O'ConnellATP #955Elo 1456hard 1466
-:-
Chase FergusonATP #672Elo 1447hard 1445

Our tips

Tip in 7h 12m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Benjamin O'Connell29%
Chase Ferguson71%

Elo: B. O'Connell 53% · C. Ferguson 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 B. O'Connell17%
2:1 B. O'Connell13%
2:1 C. Ferguson22%
2:0 C. Ferguson48%

First set

Benjamin O'Connell35%
Chase Ferguson65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%57%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,708 matches

Games handicap

C. Ferguson −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

B. O'ConnellTourC. Ferguson
Service points won58%62%61%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held71%76%74%
Breaks of serve25%24%17%
Aces per service game0.400.29
Double faults per game0.410.16
Sets with a tie-break17%7%
Tie-breaks won0/21/1
Wins in straight sets0%100%
Matches in the sample57

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Benjamin O'Connell

  • 15/09/26LConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#498Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R322:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26LBlake Ellis#412Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:7 3:6
  • 07/09/26WTaisei Ichikawa#723Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:7 7:5 6:2
  • 06/09/26WS D Prajwal Dev#678Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q14:6 7:5 6:2
  • 31/05/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Birmingham · Q11:6 2:6

Chase Ferguson

  • 28/09/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 1:6
  • 08/02/26LJamie Mackenzie#630Challenger Brisbane 2 · Q13:6 4:6
  • 02/02/26LKokoro Isomura#722Challenger Brisbane · Q23:6 3:6
  • 01/02/26WEnzo Aguiard#427Challenger Brisbane · Q16:4 6:4
  • 27/01/26LDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · R320:6 1:6
  • 26/01/26WLorenzo Carboni#552Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · Q27:6 6:4
  • 25/01/26WArthur Weber#419Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · Q16:4 6:4

Elo over the last year

Benjamin O'ConnellChase Ferguson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

B. O'ConnellC. Ferguson
Hard court2–250%3–443%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also