Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Tobon vs Rocha: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 55mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Miguel Tobon25%
Henrique Rocha75%
Elo: M. Tobon 25% · H. Rocha 75%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 M. Tobon16%
2:1 M. Tobon12%
2:1 H. Rocha21%
2:0 H. Rocha51%
First set
Miguel Tobon33%
Henrique Rocha67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 75% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 67% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 51% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 36% |
Sample: 7,374 matches
Games handicap
H. Rocha −4.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Tobon | Tour | H. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.33 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/26 | 14/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Miguel Tobon
- 02/11/26LLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q24:6 2:6
- 01/11/26WEnrique BogoChallenger Costa do Sauipe · Q16:1 6:0
- 28/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · R323:6 3:6
- 26/10/26WDaniel Salazar Martinez#649Challenger Guayaquil · Q26:2 6:3
- 25/10/26WFederico ZeballosChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 6:4
- 23/10/26LValerio Aboian#258Challenger Cali · QF6:1 6:7 2:6
- 22/10/26WNicolas Mejia#115Challenger Cali · R164:6 6:2 7:6
- 21/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#325Challenger Cali · R326:1 2:6 6:4
- 09/10/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#193Challenger Antofagasta · QF2:6 2:6
- 08/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#154Challenger Antofagasta · R163:6 7:6 7:6
Henrique Rocha
- 02/11/26LTomas Barrios Vera#154Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R324:6 6:7
- 23/10/26LElmer Moller#150Challenger Lisbon · QF2:6 4:6
- 21/10/26WThiago Monteiro#233Challenger Lisbon · R166:4 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WDali Blanch#323Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 7:5
- 12/10/26LSumit Nagal#265Challenger Maia · R326:3 5:7 6:7
- 04/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Porto 2 · F2:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/26WAugust Holmgren#267Challenger Porto 2 · QF6:3 7:6
- 01/10/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Porto 2 · R166:2 6:0
- 29/09/26WCezar Cretu#269Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:3
- 11/09/26LDusan Lajovic#163Challenger Seville · QF4:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Miguel TobonHenrique Rocha
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Tobon | H. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–950% | 9–853% |
| Clay | 19–1851% | 27–1663% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–325% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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