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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Tobon vs Bogo 2:0: result and our tips

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Miguel TobonATP #432Elo 1614clay 1622
2:0final6:1 6:0
Enrique BogoElo 1295clay 1306

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Miguel Tobon98%
Enrique Bogo2%

Elo: M. Tobon 86% · E. Bogo 14%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Tobon88%
2:1 M. Tobon9%
2:1 E. Bogo2%
2:0 E. Bogo1%

First set

Miguel Tobon94%
Enrique Bogo6%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes11%
no90%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 15.5 · 60%market (no margin): 55%

The 15.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.585%15%98%
14.575%25%96%
15.560%40%91%
16.547%53%84%
17.536%64%76%
18.529%71%68%
19.523%77%59%

Sample: 860 matches

Games handicap

M. Tobon −7.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes10%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 15.5out · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Miguel TobonEnrique Bogo
4Aces0
2Double faults3
67%First serves in56%
81%First-serve points won40%
69%Second-serve points won42%
5/10Break points converted0/1
7/7Service games held1/6
77%Service points won41%
59%Return points won23%
62Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. TobonTourE. Bogo
Service points won62%62%—
Return points won39%38%—
Service games held76%76%—
Breaks of serve26%24%—
Aces per service game0.39—
Double faults per game0.33—
Sets with a tie-break21%—
Tie-breaks won13/27—
Wins in straight sets52%—
Matches in the sample54—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Miguel Tobon

Enrique Bogo

  • 01/03/26LRyan Dickerson#743Challenger Brasilia · Q12:6 4:6
  • 05/05/24LSeita WatanabeChallenger Santos · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
  • 29/01/24LMariano KestelboimChallenger Piracicaba · Q12:6 0:6
  • 09/10/22LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Rio de Janeiro · Q13:6 1:6
  • 29/11/21LIgor Marcondes#279Challenger Sao Paulo · Q21:6 6:3 1:6
  • 28/11/21WBogdan BobrovChallenger Sao Paulo · Q14:6 6:3 6:2

Elo over the last year

Miguel TobonEnrique Bogo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. TobonE. Bogo
Hard court9–950%0–0
Clay18–1850%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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