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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sweeny vs Shepp 2:0: result and our tips

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Dane SweenyATP #116Elo 1673hard 1638
2:0final6:3 6:1
Anton SheppATP #477Elo 1474hard 1465

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dane Sweeny69%
Anton Shepp31%

Elo: D. Sweeny 73% · A. Shepp 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Sweeny46%
2:1 D. Sweeny22%
2:1 A. Shepp14%
2:0 A. Shepp18%

First set

Dane Sweeny64%
Anton Shepp36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,164 matches

Games handicap

D. Sweeny −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dane SweenyAnton Shepp
1Aces7
1Double faults0
68%First serves in55%
77%First-serve points won58%
63%Second-serve points won43%
4/6Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held4/8
72%Service points won51%
49%Return points won28%
59Total points won38

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SweenyTourA. Shepp
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve27%24%20%
Aces per service game0.260.55
Double faults per game0.280.23
Sets with a tie-break20%8%
Tie-breaks won19/330/2
Wins in straight sets51%25%
Matches in the sample6911

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dane Sweeny

Anton Shepp

  • 09/11/26WDominik Palan#608Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q27:5 6:3
  • 08/11/26WHayden Jones#901Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:1 6:7 6:4
  • 31/08/26LMathys Erhard#374Challenger Manacor · Q11:6 5:7
  • 24/08/26LLui Maxted#371Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 3:6
  • 17/08/26LMark CebanChallenger Roehampton · R321:6 3:6
  • 27/07/26LEvan Zhu#461Challenger Vancouver · Q13:6 6:3 3:6
  • 20/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#310Challenger Winnipeg · Q23:6 1:6
  • 19/07/26WAlexander Rozin#973Challenger Winnipeg · Q16:4 3:6 6:2
  • 16/07/26LColeman Wong#84Challenger Lincoln · R165:7 6:7
  • 13/07/26WJack Kennedy#385Challenger Lincoln · R326:4 2:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Dane SweenyAnton Shepp

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SweenyA. Shepp
Hard court33–2557%4–736%
Clay0–20%0–0
Grass6–367%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dane Sweeny

First match in this tournament.

Anton Shepp

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