Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying
Shepp vs Jones: prediction and tips
·
Anton SheppATP #488Elo 1399hard 1388
-:-
Hayden JonesATP #906Elo 1308hard 1292
Our tips
Tip in 6h 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Anton Shepp69%
Hayden Jones31%
Elo: A. Shepp 64% · H. Jones 36%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Shepp46%
2:1 A. Shepp22%
2:1 H. Jones14%
2:0 H. Jones18%
First set
Anton Shepp64%
Hayden Jones36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 5,107 matches
Games handicap
A. Shepp −3.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes37%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Shepp | Tour | H. Jones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 27% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/1 | 3/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 9 | 5 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Anton Shepp
- 31/08/26LMathys Erhard#374Challenger Manacor · Q11:6 5:7
- 24/08/26LLui Maxted#428Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 3:6
- 17/08/26LMark CebanChallenger Roehampton · R321:6 3:6
- 27/07/26LEvan Zhu#467Challenger Vancouver · Q13:6 6:3 3:6
- 20/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Winnipeg · Q23:6 1:6
- 19/07/26WAlexander Rozin#983Challenger Winnipeg · Q16:4 3:6 6:2
- 16/07/26LColeman Wong#85Challenger Lincoln · R165:7 6:7
- 13/07/26WJack Kennedy#396Challenger Lincoln · R326:4 2:6 6:3
- 10/01/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Auckland · Q25:7 2:6
- 05/08/24LBeibit Zhukayev#522Challenger Lincoln (NE) · R324:6 2:6
Hayden Jones
- 24/11/25LRyuki Matsuda#646Challenger Playford · Q14:6 5:7
- 23/11/25WJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Playford · Q17:6 6:3
- 18/11/25LMarek Gengel#410Challenger Sydney · R327:5 4:6 5:7
- 10/11/25LCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q24:6 2:6
- 09/11/25WColin Sinclair#485Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q17:6 7:6
- 21/09/25LAntoine Ghibaudo#492Challenger Las Vegas · Q15:7 6:3 1:6
- 01/06/25LMoerani Bouzige#461Challenger Tyler · Q12:6 6:4 4:6
- 25/05/25LYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Little Rock · Q13:6 2:6
- 27/04/25LAndre Ilagan#200Challenger Guangzhou · Q11:6 1:6
- 20/04/25LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Gwangju · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Anton SheppHayden Jones
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Shepp | H. Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–722% | 2–340% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Upcoming matches
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