Moriya vs Bolt 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Moriya 27% · A. Bolt 73%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,729 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Hiroki Moriya | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 18 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 61% | First serves in | 61% |
| 53% | First-serve points won | 82% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 1/4 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/9 |
| 51% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 49% |
| 48 | Total points won | 65 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Moriya | Tour | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.66 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/26 | 19/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hiroki Moriya
- 09/11/26WPavle Marinkov#679Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q26:4 6:4
- 08/11/26WNikolas BakerChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:3
- 28/10/26LMert Alkaya#319Challenger Ningbo · R163:6 6:3 4:6
- 27/10/26WJames McCabe#287Challenger Ningbo · R326:1 2:6 7:6
- 26/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#631Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:2
- 25/10/26WTaisei Ichikawa#759Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/10/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q12:6 3:6
- 07/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Wuning 3 · R162:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Jingshan · Q24:6 4:6
Alex Bolt
- 05/10/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Jingshan · SF7:5 6:7
- 02/10/26WDane Sweeny#116Challenger Jingshan · QF6:3 7:6
- 01/10/26WEvan Zhu#461Challenger Jingshan · R166:7 6:4 6:2
- 29/09/26WSemen Pankin#421Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:2
- 24/09/26LFabian Marozsan#63ATP Hangzhou · R324:6 2:6
- 23/09/26WAkira Santillan#349ATP Hangzhou · Q26:1 2:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WOmar Jasika#301ATP Hangzhou · Q16:4 6:3
- 25/08/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#142ATP US Open · Q16:7 5:7
- 04/08/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#305Challenger Lexington · R322:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Moriya | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–2751% | 25–1858% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 2–433% |
Head to head
H. Moriya 0–2 A. Bolt
- 14/02/26Winner: A. Bolt3:6 6:3 3:6
- 13/11/24Winner: A. Bolt6:4 3:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Hiroki Moriya
- 08/11/26WNikolas BakerChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:3
- 09/11/26WPavle Marinkov#679Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q26:4 6:4
Alex Bolt
First match in this tournament.
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