Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Moriya vs Marinkov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Hiroki Moriya70%
Pavle Marinkov30%
Elo: H. Moriya 60% · P. Marinkov 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 H. Moriya47%
2:1 H. Moriya22%
2:1 P. Marinkov13%
2:0 P. Marinkov17%
First set
Hiroki Moriya65%
Pavle Marinkov35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,840 matches
Games handicap
H. Moriya −3.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Moriya | Tour | P. Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.36 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/26 | 2/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hiroki Moriya
- 08/11/26WNikolas BakerChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:3
- 28/10/26LMert Alkaya#321Challenger Ningbo · R163:6 6:3 4:6
- 27/10/26WJames McCabe#256Challenger Ningbo · R326:1 2:6 7:6
- 26/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#614Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:2
- 25/10/26WTaisei Ichikawa#723Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/10/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q12:6 3:6
- 07/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Wuning 3 · R162:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WKeegan Smith#192Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jingshan · Q24:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WJilong HuangChallenger Jingshan · Q16:0 6:4
Pavle Marinkov
- 08/11/26WDerek PhamChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:3 1:6 6:3
- 27/07/26LChristian Langmo#508Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 5:7
- 19/07/26LMikael ArseneaultChallenger Winnipeg · Q13:6 4:6
- 13/07/26LYibing Wu#105Challenger Lincoln · Q23:6 6:7
- 12/07/26WRonit Karki#889Challenger Lincoln · Q16:4 6:2
- 31/05/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Tyler · Q21:6 1:6
- 24/05/26LJustin Boulais#439Challenger Little Rock · Q14:6 4:6
- 13/04/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Wuning 2 · Q22:6 3:6
- 12/04/26WJoshua Charlton#851Challenger Wuning 2 · Q15:7 6:4 6:4
- 07/04/26LLi Tu#506Challenger Wuning · R322:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Hiroki MoriyaPavle Marinkov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Moriya | P. Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–2849% | 11–1641% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Hiroki Moriya
- 08/11/26WNikolas BakerChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:4 6:3
Pavle Marinkov
- 08/11/26WDerek PhamChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:3 1:6 6:3
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