Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Ayeni vs Bolt: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 15mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alafia Ayeni16%
Alex Bolt84%
Elo: A. Ayeni 23% · A. Bolt 77%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Ayeni9%
2:1 A. Ayeni8%
2:1 A. Bolt20%
2:0 A. Bolt63%
First set
Alafia Ayeni23%
Alex Bolt77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%
Total games
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 2,454 matches
Games handicap
A. Bolt −4.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Ayeni | Tour | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.67 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.52 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/18 | 19/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alafia Ayeni
- 09/11/26WEdward Winter#404Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:7 7:6 6:2
- 01/11/26LKaichi Uchida#431Challenger Taipei · Q11:6 0:4
- 25/10/26LUisung Park#802Challenger Seoul · Q16:7 6:4 4:6
- 28/09/26LKaylan Bigun#523Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WMichael Bassem Sobhy#655Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:0
- 21/09/26LEvan Zhu#461Challenger San Diego 2 · Q22:6 4:6
- 20/09/26WLi Tu#504Challenger San Diego 2 · Q16:3 7:6
- 09/09/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#168Challenger Istanbul 3 · R167:6 1:6 4:6
- 07/09/26WCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:2 7:5
- 01/09/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#366Challenger Porto · R322:6 6:1 3:6
Alex Bolt
- 10/11/26WHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 6:3
- 05/10/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LLloyd Harris#103Challenger Jingshan · SF7:5 6:7
- 02/10/26WDane Sweeny#116Challenger Jingshan · QF6:3 7:6
- 01/10/26WEvan Zhu#461Challenger Jingshan · R166:7 6:4 6:2
- 29/09/26WSemen Pankin#421Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:2
- 24/09/26LFabian Marozsan#63ATP Hangzhou · R324:6 2:6
- 23/09/26WAkira Santillan#349ATP Hangzhou · Q26:1 2:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WOmar Jasika#301ATP Hangzhou · Q16:4 6:3
- 25/08/26LPablo Llamas Ruiz#142ATP US Open · Q16:7 5:7
Elo over the last year
Alafia AyeniAlex Bolt
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Ayeni | A. Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1555% | 26–1859% |
| Clay | 9–853% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alafia Ayeni
- 09/11/26WEdward Winter#404Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:7 7:6 6:2
Alex Bolt
- 10/11/26WHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:2 6:3
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