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WTA 125 SopoQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Samson vs Burillo Escorihuela: prediction and tips

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Laura SamsonWTA #119Elo 1659clay 1688
-:-
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaWTA #213Elo 1607clay 1632

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.563%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Samson 14 of 20, Burillo Escorihuela 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.540%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Samson 9 of 20, Burillo Escorihuela 12 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Laura Samson73%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela27%

Elo: L. Samson 58% · I. Burillo Escorihuela 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Samson51%
2:1 L. Samson22%
2:1 I. Burillo Escorihuela13%
2:0 I. Burillo Escorihuela14%

First set

Laura Samson66%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.571%29%68%
18.563%37%59%
19.554%46%52%
20.548%53%45%
21.544%56%41%
22.540%60%37%
23.535%65%33%

Sample: 1,223 matches

Games handicap

L. Samson −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 20%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. SamsonTourI. Burillo Escorihuela
Service points won54%56%52%
Return points won48%44%47%
Service games held61%63%53%
Breaks of serve41%37%43%
Aces per service game0.220.07
Double faults per game0.550.28
Sets with a tie-break14%7%
Tie-breaks won7/154/5
Wins in straight sets54%43%
Matches in the sample4828

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Laura Samson

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Elo over the last year

Laura SamsonIrene Burillo Escorihuela

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. SamsonI. Burillo Escorihuela
Hard court0–50%0–30%
Clay28–1467%14–1156%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Laura Samson

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

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