ATP Stockholm250Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Tirante vs Shevchenko: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante48%
Alexander Shevchenko52%
Elo: T. Tirante 57% · A. Shevchenko 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Tirante28%
2:1 T. Tirante20%
2:1 A. Shevchenko20%
2:0 A. Shevchenko32%
First set
Thiago Agustin Tirante48%
Alexander Shevchenko52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 29% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 63% | 30% |
Sample: 5,527 matches
Games handicap
A. Shevchenko −0.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes50%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Tirante | Tour | A. Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.73 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/26 | 15/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
- 04/11/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Paris · R327:6 3:6 6:7
- 01/11/26LMattia Bellucci#62ATP Paris · Q24:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WZachary Svajda#78ATP Paris · Q13:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Vienna · Q14:6 6:7
- 19/10/26LFacundo Diaz Acosta#66ATP Almaty · R327:6 1:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · R646:4 2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#80ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:2
- 30/09/26LJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Beijing · R321:6 4:6
- 30/08/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 3:6 3:6 3:6
Alexander Shevchenko
- 11/11/26WCasper Ruud#18ATP Stockholm · R166:7 6:4 6:3
- 10/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Stockholm · R326:1 6:3
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 02/11/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Bratislava 2 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 18/10/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#130ATP Almaty · Q26:7 4:6
- 17/10/26WDaniil Glinka#163ATP Almaty · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
- 16/10/26LMattia Bellucci#62Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WJay Friend#256Challenger Jinan · R166:0 6:4
- 13/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#64Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Thiago Agustin TiranteAlexander Shevchenko
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Tirante | A. Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1553% | 19–1950% |
| Clay | 15–768% | 14–1254% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 0–20% |
Head to head
T. Tirante 1–0 A. Shevchenko
- 18/03/25Winner: T. Tirante6:3 6:3
Road through the tournament
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 08/11/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Stockholm · R327:6 6:3
Alexander Shevchenko
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
- 10/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Stockholm · R326:1 6:3
- 11/11/26WCasper Ruud#18ATP Stockholm · R166:7 6:4 6:3
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