Musetti vs Humbert: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Musetti won 8 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: L. Musetti 68% · U. Humbert 32%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 76% | 24% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,672 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Musetti | Tour | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/17 | 16/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lorenzo Musetti
- 10/11/26WToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · R166:1 6:4
- 05/11/26LLuca Van Assche#34ATP Paris · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 04/11/26WAlexander Zverev#1ATP Paris · R327:6 6:2
- 02/11/26WHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Paris · R647:6 7:6
- 29/10/26LArthur Fery#33ATP Vienna · R164:6 7:5 4:6
- 28/10/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP Vienna · R327:6 7:5
- 25/10/26WTaylor Fritz#10ATP Lyon · F6:3 6:4
- 24/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Lyon · SF4:6 6:2 7:5
- 23/10/26WLuca Van Assche#34ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:7 6:4
- 21/10/26WMoise Kouame#132ATP Lyon · R166:4 6:4
Ugo Humbert
- 11/11/26WBorna Gojo#134ATP Stockholm · R166:2 6:4
- 09/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Stockholm · R326:4 6:3
- 04/11/26LMatteo Berrettini#43ATP Paris · R326:7 5:7
- 02/11/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#40ATP Paris · R647:6 6:7 6:3
- 28/10/26LNovak Djokovic#12ATP Basel · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/10/26LCorentin Moutet#108ATP Lyon · R322:6 7:6 6:7
- 09/10/26LArthur Gea#47ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:3 1:6
- 03/10/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP Tokyo · R167:5 4:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Tokyo · R326:3 6:2
- 16/08/26LMichael Zheng#100ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Musetti | U. Humbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1168% | 16–1748% |
| Clay | 6–460% | 5–550% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Lorenzo Musetti
- 10/11/26WToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · R166:1 6:4
Ugo Humbert
- 09/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Stockholm · R326:4 6:3
- 11/11/26WBorna Gojo#134ATP Stockholm · R166:2 6:4
Upcoming matches
- Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko, · ATP Stockholm
- Taylor Fritz vs Holger Rune, · ATP Stockholm
- Rio Noguchi vs Taro Daniel, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Dane Sweeny vs Juncheng Shang, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Rei Sakamoto vs Ognjen Milic, · Challenger Matsuyama