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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Martinez vs Martineau: prediction and tips

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Pedro MartinezATP #124Elo 1759hard 1753
-:-
Matteo MartineauATP #203Elo 1738hard 1753

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Martineau61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martineau: 6 wins in a row; Martineau won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Martineau58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Martinez lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Martineau won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Martineau 2-040%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Martinez lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Martineau won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Pedro Martinez39%
Matteo Martineau61%

Elo: P. Martinez 50% · M. Martineau 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Martinez23%
2:1 P. Martinez16%
2:1 M. Martineau22%
2:0 M. Martineau40%

First set

Pedro Martinez42%
Matteo Martineau58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,115 matches

Games handicap

M. Martineau −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. MartinezTourM. Martineau
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held73%76%80%
Breaks of serve29%24%21%
Aces per service game0.140.52
Double faults per game0.210.30
Sets with a tie-break13%25%
Tie-breaks won8/1919/39
Wins in straight sets65%51%
Matches in the sample6465

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pedro Martinez

Matteo Martineau

Elo over the last year

Pedro MartinezMatteo Martineau

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. MartinezM. Martineau
Hard court14–670%27–1860%
Clay20–2347%8–1240%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

P. Martinez 1–0 M. Martineau

  • 09/01/26Winner: P. Martinez7:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Pedro Martinez

Matteo Martineau

Upcoming matches

See also