Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Báez vs Hemery: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sebastián Báez73%
Calvin Hemery27%
Elo: S. Báez 73% · C. Hemery 27%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 S. Báez49%
2:1 S. Báez21%
2:1 C. Hemery12%
2:0 C. Hemery19%
First set
Sebastián Báez64%
Calvin Hemery36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 10,841 matches
Games handicap
S. Báez −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Báez | Tour | C. Hemery | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.48 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 14/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastián Báez
- 10/11/26WDaniil Glinka#163Challenger Orleans · R323:6 6:2 6:1
- 02/11/26LDaniel Merida#42ATP Paris · R644:6 2:6
- 01/11/26LTomáš Macháč#60ATP Paris · Q22:6 4:6
- 31/10/26WDamir Dzumhur#90ATP Paris · Q17:6 7:5
- 24/10/26LGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#140ATP Basel · Q13:6 6:3 3:6
- 20/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#250ATP Lyon · R323:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 08/10/26WMarcos Giron#94ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26LJuncheng Shang#252ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJenson Brooksby#93ATP Chengdu · R325:7 5:7
Calvin Hemery
- 10/11/26WShintaro Mochizuki#128Challenger Orleans · R324:6 7:6 6:2
- 09/11/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Orleans · Q14:6 6:3 7:6
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
- 03/11/26LPhilip Henning#249Challenger Taranto · R321:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LRobin Catry#654Challenger Brest · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
- 25/10/26WAdrien Gobat#851Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Lisbon · R321:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 5:7 4:6
- 23/09/26WOriol Roca Batalla#283Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R163:6 6:4 6:1
- 21/09/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#345Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:7 7:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Sebastián BáezCalvin Hemery
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Báez | C. Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1650% | 14–1156% |
| Clay | 17–1455% | 18–1555% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sebastián Báez
- 10/11/26WDaniil Glinka#163Challenger Orleans · R323:6 6:2 6:1
Calvin Hemery
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
- 09/11/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Orleans · Q14:6 6:3 7:6
- 10/11/26WShintaro Mochizuki#128Challenger Orleans · R324:6 7:6 6:2
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