Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Hemery vs Poullain 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Calvin Hemery46%
Lucas Poullain54%
Elo: C. Hemery 37% · L. Poullain 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Hemery27%
2:1 C. Hemery18%
2:1 L. Poullain20%
2:0 L. Poullain34%
First set
Calvin Hemery46%
Lucas Poullain54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,662 matches
Games handicap
L. Poullain −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes36%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Calvin Hemery | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 2 |
| 5 | Double faults | 2 |
| 57% | First serves in | 60% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 89% |
| 62% | Second-serve points won | 51% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 1/10 |
| 15/16 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 71% | Service points won | 74% |
| 26% | Return points won | 29% |
| 97 | Total points won | 95 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Hemery | Tour | L. Poullain | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.47 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.11 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/20 | 4/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Calvin Hemery
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
- 03/11/26LPhilip Henning#249Challenger Taranto · R321:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LRobin Catry#654Challenger Brest · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
- 25/10/26WAdrien Gobat#851Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Lisbon · R321:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 5:7 4:6
- 23/09/26WOriol Roca Batalla#283Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R163:6 6:4 6:1
- 21/09/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#345Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 10/09/26LDusan Lajovic#158Challenger Seville · R164:6 2:6
- 07/09/26WGilles Arnaud Bailly#541Challenger Seville · R326:0
Lucas Poullain
- 08/11/26WPierre Delage#557Challenger Orleans · Q16:4 7:5
- 03/11/26LJerome Kym#143Challenger Bratislava 2 · R326:3 3:6 2:6
- 02/11/26WYannik Kelm#430Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:2 6:3
- 01/11/26WTomas LanikChallenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:2 6:1
- 26/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#517Challenger Brest · Q23:6 6:1 6:7
- 25/10/26WTimeo TrufelliChallenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
- 12/10/26LTom Paris#769Challenger Roanne · Q26:7 3:6
- 11/10/26WGijs Brouwer#754Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LJoel Schwaerzler#169Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF4:6 1:6
- 30/09/26WRemy Bertola#221Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R163:6 7:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Calvin HemeryLucas Poullain
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Hemery | L. Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1152% | 24–1267% |
| Clay | 18–1555% | 3–350% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Calvin Hemery
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
Lucas Poullain
- 08/11/26WPierre Delage#557Challenger Orleans · Q16:4 7:5
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