Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Mochizuki vs Hemery: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Shintaro Mochizuki58%
Calvin Hemery42%
Elo: S. Mochizuki 63% · C. Hemery 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Mochizuki38%
2:1 S. Mochizuki21%
2:1 C. Hemery17%
2:0 C. Hemery25%
First set
Shintaro Mochizuki56%
Calvin Hemery44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 6,123 matches
Games handicap
S. Mochizuki −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Mochizuki | Tour | C. Hemery | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 67% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.28 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.40 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/21 | 13/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 56 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 03/11/26LNicolai Budkov Kjaer#178Challenger Bratislava 2 · R323:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LFederico Cina#139Challenger Brest · R320:6 6:4 3:6
- 17/10/26LMattia Bellucci#62Challenger Jinan · SF2:6 6:7
- 16/10/26WYosuke Watanuki#237Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 6:2 7:6
- 15/10/26WDane Sweeny#116Challenger Jinan · R166:3 7:6
- 13/10/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#66Challenger Jinan · R326:2 7:6
- 06/10/26LRoman Safiullin#74ATP Shanghai · Q22:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WTaro Daniel#172ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:2 6:2
- 28/09/26LJaime Faria#57ATP Tokyo · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LMartin Damm Jr#102ATP Chengdu · R321:6 4:6
Calvin Hemery
- 09/11/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Orleans · Q14:6 6:3 7:6
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
- 03/11/26LPhilip Henning#249Challenger Taranto · R321:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LRobin Catry#654Challenger Brest · Q27:6 3:6 4:6
- 25/10/26WAdrien Gobat#851Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/10/26LRaul Brancaccio#222Challenger Lisbon · R321:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LCarlos Taberner#456Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 5:7 4:6
- 23/09/26WOriol Roca Batalla#283Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R163:6 6:4 6:1
- 21/09/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#345Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:7 7:6 7:6
- 10/09/26LDusan Lajovic#158Challenger Seville · R164:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Shintaro MochizukiCalvin Hemery
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Mochizuki | C. Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–2640% | 13–1154% |
| Clay | 0–30% | 18–1555% |
| Grass | 8–467% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Shintaro Mochizuki
First match in this tournament.
Calvin Hemery
- 08/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#540Challenger Orleans · Q16:3 6:2
- 09/11/26WLucas Poullain#316Challenger Orleans · Q14:6 6:3 7:6
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