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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Mochizuki vs Budkov Kjaer 0:2: result and our tips

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Shintaro MochizukiATP #125Elo 1786hard 1738
0:2final3:6 2:6
Nicolai Budkov KjaerATP #182Elo 1758hard 1751

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 57%

Mochizuki: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Budkov KjaerWon59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mochizuki lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Budkov Kjaer won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Shintaro Mochizuki38%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer62%

Elo: S. Mochizuki 48% · N. Budkov Kjaer 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Mochizuki22%
2:1 S. Mochizuki16%
2:1 N. Budkov Kjaer22%
2:0 N. Budkov Kjaer41%

First set

Shintaro Mochizuki41%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,933 matches

Games handicap

N. Budkov Kjaer −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Shintaro MochizukiNicolai Budkov Kjaer
0Aces3
5Double faults0
53%First serves in75%
77%First-serve points won71%
26%Second-serve points won47%
1/4Break points converted4/8
4/8Service games held8/9
53%Service points won65%
35%Return points won47%
51Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. MochizukiTourN. Budkov Kjaer
Service points won58%62%62%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held67%76%76%
Breaks of serve28%24%25%
Aces per service game0.290.38
Double faults per game0.400.22
Sets with a tie-break14%16%
Tie-breaks won14/2111/26
Wins in straight sets48%49%
Matches in the sample5768

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Elo over the last year

Shintaro MochizukiNicolai Budkov Kjaer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. MochizukiN. Budkov Kjaer
Hard court17–2540%24–2055%
Clay0–30%9–950%
Grass8–467%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also