ATP Stockholm250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Kecmanovic vs Rune: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic36%
Holger Rune65%
Elo: M. Kecmanovic 21% · H. Rune 79%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Kecmanovic21%
2:1 M. Kecmanovic16%
2:1 H. Rune22%
2:0 H. Rune41%
First set
Miomir Kecmanovic40%
Holger Rune60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 56% | 44% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,801 matches
Games handicap
H. Rune −2.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes50%
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Kecmanovic | Tour | H. Rune | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 14% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/26 | 2/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 33% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 7 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Miomir Kecmanovic
- 10/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#58ATP Stockholm · R327:6 4:6 6:4
- 01/11/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Paris · Q24:6 7:6 6:7
- 31/10/26WJames Duckworth#76ATP Paris · Q16:4 2:6 6:4
- 24/10/26LRinky Hijikata#59ATP Basel · Q16:7 3:6
- 19/10/26LJames Duckworth#76ATP Almaty · R324:6 3:6
- 13/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#107Challenger Jinan · R323:6 4:6
- 09/10/26LJakub Menšík#16ATP Shanghai · R643:6 3:6
- 07/10/26WSho Shimabukuro#123ATP Shanghai · R1286:2 6:4
- 28/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Beijing · Q16:7 6:3 6:7
- 24/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#86ATP Chengdu · R326:7 4:6
Holger Rune
- 10/11/26WZizou Bergs#44ATP Stockholm · R326:3 6:4
- 03/11/26LTommy Paul#13ATP Paris · R645:7 4:6
- 30/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · QF3:6 6:3 3:6
- 28/10/26WHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Basel · R163:6 6:3 7:6
- 26/10/26WQuentin Halys#45ATP Basel · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 07/10/26LDaniel Altmaier#73ATP Shanghai · R1286:1 6:7 4:6
- 01/10/26LKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Tokyo · R323:6 1:6
- 18/10/25LUgo Humbert#39ATP Stockholm · SF6:4 2:2
- 17/10/25WTomás Martín Etcheverry#29ATP Stockholm · QF6:7 6:3 6:4
- 16/10/25WMarton Fucsovics#145ATP Stockholm · R166:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Miomir KecmanovicHolger Rune
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Kecmanovic | H. Rune | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–2140% | 3–443% |
| Clay | 8–753% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 2–340% | 0–0 |
Head to head
M. Kecmanovic 1–2 H. Rune
- 18/01/25Winner: H. Rune7:6 3:6 6:4 4:6 4:6
- 24/10/23Winner: H. Rune6:1 5:7 3:6
- 18/10/23Winner: M. Kecmanovic7:6 6:2
Road through the tournament
Miomir Kecmanovic
- 10/11/26WArthur Rinderknech#58ATP Stockholm · R327:6 4:6 6:4
Holger Rune
- 10/11/26WZizou Bergs#44ATP Stockholm · R326:3 6:4
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