Sonego vs Tabilo: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10h 50mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: L. Sonego 43% · A. Tabilo 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 29% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 58% | 42% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 6,155 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Sonego | Tour | A. Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.59 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/25 | 11/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 51% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lorenzo Sonego
- 10/11/26WQuentin Halys#45ATP Stockholm · R326:4 7:6
- 08/11/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#194ATP Stockholm · Q27:5 6:3
- 07/11/26WOlle Wallin#416ATP Stockholm · Q16:4 7:6
- 02/11/26LMattia Bellucci#62ATP Paris · R644:6 3:6
- 01/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Paris · Q26:3 4:6 7:6
- 31/10/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Paris · Q16:7 6:3 6:4
- 25/10/26LJacob Fearnley#87ATP Vienna · Q21:6 7:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Vienna · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26LMoise Kouame#132ATP Lyon · R326:7 4:6
- 05/10/26LAziz Dougaz#380ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 7:5 4:6
Alejandro Tabilo
- 02/11/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Paris · R642:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Basel · R324:6 2:6
- 10/10/26LPablo Carreno Busta#77ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:7 4:6
- 03/10/26LDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Tokyo · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 30/09/26WTommy Paul#13ATP Tokyo · R326:1 6:2
- 25/09/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Chengdu · R164:6 4:6
- 06/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · R322:6 6:7 2:6
- 03/09/26WAlexei Popyrin#125ATP US Open · R642:6 7:6 7:6 6:2
- 31/08/26WYannick Hanfmann#67ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:2 6:7 6:3
- 17/08/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Cincinnati · R322:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Sonego | A. Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1250% | 13–1448% |
| Clay | 3–827% | 24–1267% |
| Grass | 4–450% | 0–30% |
Head to head
L. Sonego 1–1 A. Tabilo
- 08/08/24Winner: A. Tabilo4:6 2:6
- 24/08/22Winner: L. Sonego7:5 6:1
Road through the tournament
Lorenzo Sonego
- 07/11/26WOlle Wallin#416ATP Stockholm · Q16:4 7:6
- 08/11/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#194ATP Stockholm · Q27:5 6:3
- 10/11/26WQuentin Halys#45ATP Stockholm · R326:4 7:6
Alejandro Tabilo
First match in this tournament.
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