Sonego vs Halys: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 52% → with the players' profiles 61%
Halys: 8 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Sonego 12 of 20, Halys 16 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 32%
Over 28.5 games in recent matches: Sonego 7 of 20, Halys 9 of 20 (tour average 24%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Sonego 37% · Q. Halys 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 25.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 25.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 66% | 34% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 61% | 39% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 53% | 47% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 46% | 54% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 44% | 56% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 40% | 60% | 30% |
Sample: 5,775 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Sonego | Tour | Q. Halys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 16% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.86 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 30% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/24 | 33/53 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 42 | 69 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lorenzo Sonego
- 08/11/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#194ATP Stockholm · Q27:5 6:3
- 07/11/26WOlle Wallin#416ATP Stockholm · Q16:4 7:6
- 02/11/26LMattia Bellucci#62ATP Paris · R644:6 3:6
- 01/11/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Paris · Q26:3 4:6 7:6
- 31/10/26WJaume Munar#70ATP Paris · Q16:7 6:3 6:4
- 25/10/26LJacob Fearnley#87ATP Vienna · Q21:6 7:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#56ATP Vienna · Q16:2 3:6 6:3
- 19/10/26LMoise Kouame#132ATP Lyon · R326:7 4:6
- 05/10/26LAziz Dougaz#380ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 7:5 4:6
- 28/09/26LKamil Majchrzak#82ATP Tokyo · Q15:7 2:6
Quentin Halys
- 05/11/26LTommy Paul#13ATP Paris · R166:7 4:6
- 04/11/26WFrances Tiafoe#8ATP Paris · R326:3 1:6 7:6
- 03/11/26WArthur Fery#33ATP Paris · R647:6 7:5
- 26/10/26LHolger Rune#406ATP Basel · R324:6 7:6 6:7
- 11/10/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Shanghai · R324:6 7:6 3:6
- 09/10/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP Shanghai · R644:6 7:6 6:4
- 07/10/26WColeman Wong#84ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 7:6
- 03/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Beijing · R166:3 6:7 5:7
- 01/10/26WIgnacio Buse#32ATP Beijing · R326:1 7:6
- 26/09/26LRoman Safiullin#74ATP Hangzhou · R167:5 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Sonego | Q. Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1248% | 25–1957% |
| Clay | 3–827% | 13–765% |
| Grass | 4–450% | 2–433% |
Head to head
L. Sonego 1–1 Q. Halys
- 10/06/25Winner: Q. Halys7:6 5:7 4:6
- 18/04/23Winner: L. Sonego3:6 7:6 7:5
Road through the tournament
Lorenzo Sonego
- 07/11/26WOlle Wallin#416ATP Stockholm · Q16:4 7:6
- 08/11/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#194ATP Stockholm · Q27:5 6:3
Quentin Halys
First match in this tournament.
Upcoming matches
- Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs, · ATP Stockholm
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel, · ATP Stockholm
- Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover, · Challenger Lima
- Matthew Dellavedova vs Sebastian Gorzny, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- James McCabe vs Jan Kumstat, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie, · ATP Stockholm