Halys vs Tiafoe: prediction and tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 60%
Halys: 6 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Halys 15 of 20, Tiafoe 8 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 27% → with the players' profiles 31%
Over 28.5 games in recent matches: Halys 9 of 20, Tiafoe 4 of 20 (tour average 24%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Q. Halys 29% · F. Tiafoe 71%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 24.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 25.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 73% | 27% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 60% | 40% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 51% | 49% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 43% | 57% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 39% | 61% | 30% |
Sample: 6,003 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Q. Halys | Tour | F. Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 86% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.85 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 30% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 32/51 | 19/38 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Quentin Halys
- 03/11/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Paris · R647:6 7:5
- 26/10/26LHolger Rune#433ATP Basel · R324:6 7:6 6:7
- 11/10/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Shanghai · R324:6 7:6 3:6
- 09/10/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP Shanghai · R644:6 7:6 6:4
- 07/10/26WColeman Wong#85ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 7:6
- 03/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Beijing · R166:3 6:7 5:7
- 01/10/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP Beijing · R326:1 7:6
- 26/09/26LRoman Safiullin#71ATP Hangzhou · R167:5 3:6 4:6
- 04/09/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP US Open · R644:6 6:4 6:7 7:6 3:6
- 31/08/26WFacundo Diaz Acosta#72ATP US Open · R1286:4 7:5 6:7 6:1
Frances Tiafoe
- 28/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#24ATP Vienna · R326:7 5:7
- 11/10/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#17ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:4 6:7
- 09/10/26WYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 02/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · R163:6 5:7
- 01/10/26WKei NishikoriATP Tokyo · R326:4 6:4
- 11/09/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · SF6:4 3:6 3:6 5:7
- 08/09/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP US Open · QF5:7 3:6 7:5 6:3 7:6
- 06/09/26WDaniil Medvedev#5ATP US Open · R167:6 6:4 7:6
- 04/09/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP US Open · R326:4 6:2 6:4
- 02/09/26WRei Sakamoto#123ATP US Open · R646:3 7:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Q. Halys | F. Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 24–1857% | 28–1467% |
| Clay | 13–765% | 7–464% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 9–282% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Quentin Halys
- 03/11/26WArthur Fery#32ATP Paris · R647:6 7:5
Frances Tiafoe
First match in this tournament.